Dobson (R) vs. Figures (D) · Alabama's 2nd Congressional District · November 5, 2024
PRECINCTS 385
COUNTIES 13
TOTAL VOTES 289,455
MARGIN +26,627 D
PREPARED FOR Hampton Harris Campaign
Caroleene Dobson
Republican
45.4%
131,414 votes
VS
Shomari Figures
Democrat · WINNER
54.6%
158,041 votes
Strategic Context for 2026: Figures won by 26,627 votes — a margin driven almost entirely by Montgomery County (+27,855 D) and Mobile County (+8,737 D). Republicans won 7 of 13 counties. The structural challenge for Hampton Harris is not persuasion — it is turnout mobilization in rural counties and suppressing the Montgomery/Mobile urban cores. Mobile County alone had ~19,000 Republican-leaning non-voters in 2024. Closing that gap is the path to victory.